Experimental prototype — not an official warning system

Clarence River

Northern Rivers / Clarence · NSW · Estuary / river-mouth node on the east-coast bull shark corridor

Bull shark conditions

MODERATEConfidence VERY LOWbull-shark-0.1-dev

Bull shark ecological conditions are assessed as MODERATE (development model bull-shark-0.1-dev) with very low confidence. This is not an attack probability and is not the mixed-species 0–100 interaction index.

Factors increasing conditions

  • Estuary / river-mouth node — bull sharks can use these systems (ecological basis, not a detection).

Factors reducing conditions

  • No live authorised bull-shark detections in vShark.
  • Seasonal prior for this month is not the peak east-coast inshore hypothesis window.

Uncertainty

  • EAC / current velocity is a candidate variable and is not connected.
  • Acoustic receiver health is UNKNOWN — SharkSmart/IMOS tracking is not machine-connected.
  • River discharge gauges are not connected; rainfall is only a proxy.

Environmental indicators are not confirmed shark observations. This is not an attack prediction and is not the mixed-species 0–100 index.

What has actually been observed

Confirmed shark observations: none in vShark (no live authorised feed).

Environmental indicators (SST, rainfall proxy) are shown in the conditions card. They are not detections.

Surveillance

  • Clarence / Yamba acoustic coverageUNKNOWN

Assessed context 21 Sept 2026, 4:22 pm. Official beach advice always outranks this page.