Experimental prototype — not an official warning system

Hunter River

Hunter · NSW · Estuary / river-mouth node on the east-coast bull shark corridor

Bull shark conditions

ELEVATEDConfidence VERY LOWbull-shark-0.1-dev

Bull shark ecological conditions are assessed as ELEVATED (development model bull-shark-0.1-dev) with very low confidence. This is not an attack probability and is not the mixed-species 0–100 interaction index.

Factors increasing conditions

  • Recent rainfall proxy is elevated (catchment runoff hypothesis).
  • Estuary / river-mouth node — bull sharks can use these systems (ecological basis, not a detection).

Factors reducing conditions

  • Coastal SST ~20.3°C is only weakly favourable on this development thermal curve.
  • No live authorised bull-shark detections in vShark.

Uncertainty

  • EAC / current velocity is a candidate variable and is not connected.
  • Acoustic receiver health is UNKNOWN — SharkSmart/IMOS tracking is not machine-connected.
  • River discharge gauges are not connected; rainfall is only a proxy.

Environmental indicators are not confirmed shark observations. This is not an attack prediction and is not the mixed-species 0–100 index.

What has actually been observed

Confirmed shark observations: none in vShark (no live authorised feed).

Environmental indicators (SST, rainfall proxy) are shown in the conditions card. They are not detections.

Surveillance

No receiver assets recorded.

Assessed context 11 Nov 2026, 3:36 pm. Official beach advice always outranks this page.