Manly
Parent public coastal-risk area · Northern Beaches, NSW
The vShark Manly assessment covers the coastal area from Queenscliff through North Steyne and South Steyne to Fairy Bower, Winki Pop and Shelly Beach. Sub-location risk uses a development roll-up where finer live data is incomplete — labelled MOCK inputs remain clearly marked.
Experimental · uncalibrated
Why?
- •Area roll-up of 5 sub-locations (0.5×max + 0.5×mean public index)
- •Highest localised index: Queenscliff (37.2/100 · MODERATE)
- •Sub-location precision limited where data is MOCK or incomplete
- •Water temperature (~19.9°C) favours great white shark thermal suitability
Manly interaction risk is a development roll-up of 5 sub-locations (0.5*max(child publicIndex)+0.5*mean(child publicIndex); conf=min(child); hazard=max(child)). Public index 37.2/100 — MODERATE. Combined confidence moderate. Sub-location data may be MOCK or incomplete; this is not an operational warning system. Always follow lifeguard instructions and official NSW shark-safety advice. vShark is not a government or SLSA product.
Manly area — sub-locations
Development assessments per sub-location. Live data may not support full spatial precision — values are relative and may be MOCK.
| Location | Type | Risk | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Queenscliff | BEACH SECTOR | MODERATE37.2/100 | MODERATE |
| North Steyne | BEACH SECTOR | MODERATE37.2/100 | MODERATE |
| Manly — South Steyne | BEACH SECTOR | MODERATE37.2/100 | MODERATE |
| Fairy Bower | SURF AREA | MODERATE37.2/100 | MODERATE |
| Winki Popunder fairy-bower | SURF BREAK | MODERATE37.2/100 | MODERATE |
| Shelly Beach | BEACH | MODERATE37.2/100 | MODERATE |
NSW Beachwatch — recreational water quality
Official pollution forecast and latest lab result from NSW Beachwatch. This is not a vShark score and not a swim clearance. Always follow Beachwatch, flags and lifeguards.
Sites: Queenscliff Beach, North Steyne Beach, South Steyne Beach, Shelly Beach (Manly)
Water quality © NSW Beachwatch (DCCEEW), CC BY 4.0.
Species contributions (area / development)
Area roll-up stores sub-location indices rather than species breakdown. See individual sub-location assessments in the table above and methodology for the species-weighted model.
Recent detections
- Great white sharkMOCKtagged receiver · 18 Sept 2026, 4:26 pm
- Great white sharkMOCKtagged receiver · 18 Sept 2026, 12:26 pm
Ocean / environmental observations
- air_temperatureLIVE19.9 °C
- rainfall_24hLIVE0.9 mm
- rainfall_7dLIVE51.3 mm
- sstLIVE20.1 °C
- swell_heightLIVE0.9 m
- wind_direction_degLIVE100 deg
- wind_speed_knLIVE5.6 kn
Data gaps
- sub location live feeds
Missing data reduces confidence; it does not mean low risk.
Recent assessment history
| When | Band | Index | Confidence | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026, 12:02 pm | MODERATE | 37.2 | MODERATE | 0.1.0-dev |
| 18 Oct 2026, 11:02 am | MODERATE | 37.2 | MODERATE | 0.1.0-dev |
| 18 Oct 2026, 10:25 am | MODERATE | 37.2 | MODERATE | 0.1.0-dev |
| 18 Oct 2026, 9:41 am | MODERATE | 37.2 | MODERATE | 0.1.0-dev |
| 18 Oct 2026, 8:02 am | MODERATE | 37.2 | MODERATE | 0.1.0-dev |
| 18 Oct 2026, 7:02 am | MODERATE | 37.2 | MODERATE | 0.1.0-dev |
| 18 Oct 2026, 6:05 am | MODERATE | 37.2 | MODERATE | 0.1.0-dev |
| 18 Oct 2026, 4:57 am | MODERATE | 37.2 | MODERATE | 0.1.0-dev |
| 18 Oct 2026, 4:02 am | MODERATE | 37.2 | MODERATE | 0.1.0-dev |
| 18 Oct 2026, 2:06 am | MODERATE | 37.2 | MODERATE | 0.1.0-dev |
| 18 Oct 2026, 1:35 am | MODERATE | 37.2 | MODERATE | 0.1.0-dev |
| 18 Oct 2026, 1:02 am | MODERATE | 37.2 | MODERATE | 0.1.0-dev |
| 18 Oct 2026, 12:02 am | MODERATE | 36.9 | MODERATE | 0.1.0-dev |
| 17 Oct 2026, 11:20 pm | MODERATE | 36.9 | MODERATE | 0.1.0-dev |