Experimental prototype — not an official warning system

Albany

South Coast, WA · City of Albany · Relative human–shark interaction conditions

← WASouth CoastMOCKAssessed 18 Sept 2026, 11:27 pmModel 0.1.0-dev
Current state
MODERATE34.5/100

Experimental · uncalibrated

Confidence: MODERATE(58%)

Evidence freshness: 18 Sept 2026, 11:27 pm

Dominant evidence class for the index: Environmental habitat suitability

Why?

  • No live shark detections — this is not an operational alert
  • Water temperature (~17.8°C) favours great white shark thermal suitability

Shark interaction risk is assessed as MODERATE (public index 34.5/100) with moderate combined confidence. Primary drivers: No live shark detections — this is not an operational alert; Water temperature (~17.8°C) favours great white shark thermal suitability. No live shark-detection feed is connected. This is an experimental development assessment, not an operational warning. Always follow lifeguard instructions, beach closures, and official WA SharkSmart / DPIRD advice. vShark is not a government or SLSA product.

Location map

Species conditions

Great white sharkPs 0.80 · contrib 0.557
Thermal 0.97 · Detection 0.00
Bull sharkPs 0.30 · contrib 0.036
Thermal 0.03 · Detection 0.00
Tiger sharkPs 0.34 · contrib 0.046
Thermal 0.12 · Detection 0.00

Temperate southern hypothesis: white-shark (Carcharodon carcharias) habitat-suitability considerations are expected to weigh more heavily than tropical species. Hypothesis to be tested — not encoded as fact.

Recent detections / sightings

No shark observations are stored for this location. That is a data gap, not evidence that sharks are absent. SharkSmart WA is not machine-connected.

CACHED rows are curated public notices, not a live tagged-shark feed, and do not enter the 0–100 as live detections.

Environmental state

No environmental observations stored yet. Open-Meteo ingest writes to a regional centroid.

Human exposure

Class
estimated
Popularity proxy
moderate
Model exposure
0.45

Activity classes: swimming, surfing, shore fishing, diving

Estimated, not observed counts. No false precision.

Persistent spatial context

  • beach
  • harbour
  • headland

Geomorphology is persistent context, not a transient observation.

Data gaps

  • turbidity proxy
  • live detections
  • recent detections

Missing data reduces confidence; it does not mean low risk.

Nearby locations

Data coverage

Where vShark knows little is as important as where it knows more. Missing coverage does not mean low risk.

  • Shark observation coverageNONE

    SharkSmart WA / DPIRD detections are not machine-connected. No live tagged detections in vShark.

  • Ocean coverageMODERATE

    Open-Meteo marine SST and wave height at a regional centroid — not a beach sensor.

  • Weather coverageMODERATE

    Open-Meteo forecast weather at a regional centroid.

  • Ecology coverageLOW

    No live prey, whale, seal or productivity feed. Seasonal notes are hypotheses or climatology.

  • Human exposure coverageLOW

    Estimated from popularity class, weekday/weekend and swell. Not a head-count.

  • Sensor coverageNONE

    No acoustic, camera, drone or eDNA adapters connected.

  • Historical coverageLOW

    Incident reconstructions are added as frozen validation cases, not a complete history.

NOW / HISTORY — recent assessments

Append-only model outputs. New model versions do not rewrite these rows.

WhenBandIndexConfidenceModel
18 Sept 2026, 11:27 pmMODERATE34.5MODERATE0.1.0-dev
18 Sept 2026, 8:29 pmMODERATE25.4MODERATE0.1.0-dev

Evidence hierarchy

  1. Direct recent detectionTagged receiver, verified instrument detection, or equivalent in the relevant window.
  2. Verified sightingSighting confirmed by a responsible authority or trained observer.
  3. Multiple corroborated observationsIndependent reports that agree in space and time.
  4. Strong ecological proxyPrey aggregation, carcass, or similar with documented association — still a proxy.
  5. Environmental habitat suitabilityTemperature, depth, and similar suitability — not presence.
  6. Historical seasonal associationClimatology / phenology prior. Not a live observation.
  7. Long-term background prevalenceBaseline occurrence in the region. Weakest for now-casting.

Methodology

Relative interaction risk, not attack probability. Official advice outranks this page. Methodology · Data sources